ARLA Review & Index Q1 2008: increases in returns for buy to let investors
publication date: Jun 25, 2008
Buy to Let investors have seen increases in their returns during
the first quarter of 2008, according to the quarterly ARLA Review
and Index.
The average return on a geared investment is 21.7%, up 0.27%
and returns on cash purchases average 10.91%. Flats show a
marginally higher return than houses, except in the North. All
returns on rental investments include capital appreciation and
rents. This quarter, the number of Buy to Let investors reporting
a significant impact on the rental market due to immigration has
increased by nearly 10% since the question was last asked at the
end of 2006.
Unsurprisingly, given this increase in immigrant demand and
the domestic demographic trends, nine out of ten investment
landlords continue to state that they have no intention of selling
their investment properties should house prices fall. This majority
proportion is virtually unchanged on the last quarter.
About half, 46%, report their intention to buy further property
during the next twelve months and the average life expectancy of
their investments remains unchanged, at close on 17 years.
However, irrespective of house prices, 18% of landlords will sell
some or all of their property investments. Retirement has more
than doubled as a reason, while others cited the purchase of
other properties and realising gains. The quarterly ARLA Review
and Index, the largest survey of its kind, is carried out with the
support of the ARLA Group of Buy to Let Mortgage Lenders: Bank
of Ireland Mortgages, Cheltenham & Gloucester, GMAC-RFC,
Mortgage Express, NatWest and Paragon Mortgages.
The surveys providing the information for the Review and Index
were carried out during February and March among 288
investors and 439 letting agents. Across their portfolios, landlords
report an average Loan to Value ratio of 57%. The proportion
with Loans to Value of more than 75% has dropped considerably
over the last two quarters, falling from nearly 30% in the autumn
of last year to 23.9% in March.
Commented ARLA Operations Manager Ian Potter, “There
can be no doubt from these figures that Buy to Let landlords
are well aware of the opportunities but behave with caution.
In fact, caution has been the watchword in the Buy to Let
market since its inception. Buy to Let remains the sustainable
option for housing.”
The average portfolio contains just under
seven properties, although half of all
respondents only hold one or two properties.
The most likely Buy to Let purchase is a
property between 50 and 100 years old in
good condition. The least likely purchase is
of properties that have never been occupied
or bought off plan.
Professional
BUY TO LET
investors: no sell-off
The Buy-to-Let market is increasingly populated by professional,
experienced landlords investing for the long-term, research from
Paragon Mortgages has shown.
A survey of 200 mortgage brokers revealed the number
of first-time landlords applying for mortgages has been in
decline since the beginning of 2002, while the percentage of
remortgage and portfolio extension cases has steadily risen.
This suggests that the Buy-to-Let market is being driven by
experienced landlords building long-term portfolios. ARLA
research shows that the average Buy-to-let investor intends to
hold the property for 17 years, while a separate survey from
Paragon shows that 93% of landlords have held Buy-to-Let
property for six years or more.
Nigel Terrington, Paragon Group chief executive, said: ‘There
is still demand from new landlords to enter the market, but
professional landlords hold the majority of stock and account
for the bulk of the new transactions.
‘These landlords represent the core of the Buy-to-Let market
– investors that base purchase decisions on proven tenant
demand for long-term returns rather than speculative
investment for a quick profit. We are experiencing one of the
toughest environments for decades, but landlords are in a
strong position and invest for the long-term, with some taking
opportunist action to add to their portfolios.
‘We have seen reports that there will be a flood of properties
being put up for sale, but we don’t believe this will be the
case. You may see a trickle of properties being marketed
by speculative investors wishing to make a quick exit, but
our evidence suggests landlords are in it for the long-term.
Research released by RICS last week confirms our view.
Their survey revealed that currently only 2% of landlords will
sell at the end of their current tenancy due to changes in
capital gains tax. Any inclination to cash in on property price
gains at the lower tax rate is far outweighed by exceptional
tenant demand leading to rising rents.’
Buy-to-Let specialist intermediary, David Whittaker of
Mortgages for Business, confirmed that his business has
been dealing predominantly with experienced
landlords in recent months. ‘The last few
months have been amongst our busiest ever
as professional landlords respond to the
highest rental demand they have seen for
years and add properties to their portfolios
at good prices. We can see that the owneroccupier,
and in particular first-time buyer,
is having a tough time of it but inevitably this
has helped to bolster our clients’ businesses.’
The first quarter of 2008 has seen buy to let investors increasing their returns.