
Simply looking at the figures for 2009,
one would be forgiven for thinking that 2009
has been even worse than 2008 and on the face
of it, yes the number of lots and the amount
raised was down 21 per cent and 11 per cent
respectively. However overall the sale rate for
2009 was 75 per cent as against 65 per cent
for 2008, and the figures, if one strips out
repossession sales, are that the amount raised
in 2009 was three per cent up on 2008!
Repossessions at auction have fallen
dramatically in 2009. In 2008 we saw 8,022
repossessions being offered whereas in 2009
the number was more than 50 per cent down at
3,898. There were several reasons for this drop.
After a very slow market for the estate agents
in 2008, 2009 saw much more buying activity
which meant that the repossessions that were
offered by estate agents were selling, whereas
in 2008 they were not, and therefore coming to
auction. The market however feels that there is
a backlog of repossessions to be sold off and at
some time they will be coming to market, either
via estate agents or if not, sold in the room.
2009 for the commercial market was very
much a year of two halves. The first half saw the
slight decline in volumes that had been in
evidence since 07 continue but the second half
of the year saw a complete turn around and
much higher volumes being seen in H2 2009
when compared with H2 of 2008. (See Graph 1)
A similar picture can bee seen in Graph 2
for the residential sector. The decline in amount
raised started in Q2 2007 and continued
through to the end of 2008. From a low base
of £482M in Q1 2009 it has slowly risen all year
to finish at £593M in Q4 2009. This is just below
the level in Q4 2008.
The declines in volumes that were seen in the
early part on 2009 have been reversed and
we are now seeing a steadier and growing
market place. The commercial market looks set
to continue it revival and there may well be an
increase in the number of repossessions that
come to the rooms. I believe that overall, the
auction market will continue the improvement
that we have witnessed over the last few
months and progress will be made in 2010.