
Sadly, more and more pubs
are closing down every year.
According to the British Beer
and Pub Association, 52 pubs
a week are closing down – that’s
2,377 in the twelve months to
July 2009 – and many never reopen as
pubs. But a ‘dead’ pub is a property
opportunity – and it is interesting to see
how former pubs are finding new uses as
residential or commercial property. Gavin
Sherman, Managing Director at
Paramount Investments, says that most
of the pubs that Paramount is selling today
are for alternative use. “Only 20 per cent of
the pubs we sell are for pub use, and
probably closer to one in ten,” he says.
“90 per cent of what we sell is set for
alternative use.” He believes the nature of
pubs coming on the market has changed
over the past few years. He used to see a lot
of boarded-up pubs that had failed to find
tenants – it was only once every other
avenue had failed that pubs were being sold
off. Now, more of the pubs coming to the
market with Paramount are still operating.
Gavin Sherman says “We’re seeing a lot
more places that are still being run as pubs,
but are coming to the end of their
economic life – not so many dilapidated,
boarded-up pubs. We’re selling some now
that have got tenants in, but the brewery
isn’t making enough money out of it.” He
points out that if a brewery is only making
£5,000 a year on a pub worth £200,000,
it could make more money putting its cash in the bank – even with current low
interest rates. A good pub ought to yield
10 per cent – below that, brewers and
pubcos are beginning to weed out their
portfolios. The action brewers are taking
can be ruthless. “We’ve got 300 pubs on
the market from one brewer at the
moment,” he says, as the bottom end of the
portfolio is churned out. Pubs were selling
at high prices two or three years ago
– but valuations have fallen. Gavin
Sherman believes that, historically, brewers
have overvalued their pubs. Many are still
on the market at unrealistic prices, he says;
in some areas, for instance where a pub
originally supplied workers at industrial
businesses that have moved away from the
area, there just isn’t any value to a pub
in its current use. But he says events in
the sector in the last year or so, and
particularly the pre-pack administration
of Admiral Taverns, have pushed prices
down. “I’ve seen from 2.5 per cent to
50 per cent price reductions,” he says;
“the average is around 20 per cent.”
Neil Morgan, head of pubs at Christie &
Co, who sold one pub every week in 2009,
says that the pubs market in the last couple
of years was stymied by the high prices
sellers were demanding. But we are now
seeing more cases where, “the expectations
of the seller are being being matched by the
aspirations of the buyer”.

Indeed, he says, freehold prices for some
former pubs are now so cheap that in some
cases there’s only a negligible difference
between the cost of renting and the cost
of acquiring a property. Some freehold
pubs are selling for less than £100 a square
foot. That makes pub sites attractive to
diverse owners – retail operators, car
dealers, and even medical centres. High
street pubs in particular, he says, “tick all
the right boxes” for business. Estate pubs
in residential areas are also useful for such
uses as doctors’ or dentists’ surgeries and
convenience stores, as they are close to
their customer base. He says, in particular,
that the big pubcos – Enterprise, Punch,
and so on – have changed their attitude
to the market. “The major pubcos have
reversed their position from being the
most active buyers of pubs to now being
sellers, of both bottom-end and in some
cases, better quality assets.” That’s led to
far more pubs being available, and more
realistic pricing, too. Many pubcos bought
properties during the boom years up to
2007, and now face high debt burdens, so
they’re keen to sell in order to reduce their balance sheet gearing. Punch, for instance,
recently instructed Colliers CRE to sell
68 properties which are all part of its
‘turnaround division’ – all are new to the
market. Several of the pubcos are now
selling pubs with restrictive covenants
forbidding future use as a pub. Jonathan
Mail, head of policy and public affairs at
the Campaign for Real Ale, says Enterprise
Inns used restrictive covenants on 70 per
cent of the pubs they sell. Brewers such
as Thwaites are also using these covenants
to ensure pubs that are sold off can’t later
return to compete with other local
Thwaites pubs. However, Enterprise and Punch appear to have scrapped the
practice, following concerns expressed
by the House of Commons Business and
Enterprise Select Committee.
Gavin Sherman estimates that less than
half of the pubs he sells are going for
residential use – most of those in the
country, where the village pub is often a
stunning building in a central location.
About 20 per cent of the pubs Paramount
handles end up in restaurant use, while
up to a third of all pubs are now going into
use as retail operations. “A lot are changing
hands for convenience stores, doctors,
dentists, or vets,” he says, “and many high
street pubs are going to fast food uses such
as Domino’s pizza.” The Campaign for
Real Ale gives a slightly different split;
according to CAMRA, 31 per cent of
permanently shut pubs are demolished,
with 36 per cent remaining in use as
restaurants or cafes, and 33 per cent going
to other alternative use – mainly residential.
It’s interesting to see how the fall in
house prices has led to a dramatic decline
in the proportion of pubs being sold for future use as a home. Gavin Sherman says
“When we started, 70 to 80 per cent were
being changed to residential – now, it’s
fallen to only 40 or 50 per cent, whereas
fast food outlets are doing very well.” He
speculates that the recession has actually
helped fast food outlets – people are no
longer having a night out at a restaurant,
they’re having a night in with a takeaway
instead. Fleurets has sold a number of pubs
for conversion to new uses. In the case of
the Bridge Inn, Clitheroe, the pub had been
boarded up for six months, and on the
market with another agency, before
Fleurets took on the marketing and sold it
for conversion to two shops. The Turners
Arms, Rotherham, was a brick street-
corner pub in an area where it had once
served workers at local factories; it was
now redundant. Fleurets found potential
buyers looking at a number of different
uses – affordable housing, a religious
retreat house, storage. Even the possibility
of demolishing it and erecting light
industrial space on the site was considered.
The building hasn’t in fact been
demolished – but now, in a neat twist, it
provides offices for a demolition business.
The Beech Tree, Blackburn, also sold by
Fleurets, became an Islamic charity’s
meeting house. In city centres, quite a few
pubs are being converted to churches.
Gavin Sherman says he has sold quite a few
pubs for conversion to mosques, though he
thinks his most interesting deal was the
sale of the Three Pigeons, Oswestry, to the
local football team, New Saints, which now
use it as their club bar for drinking in after
the match. There are some problems
peculiar to this market. For instance,
although planning permission is generally
not required to convert a pub to retail or restaurant use, it is needed for other uses,
particularly residential. Under the Use
Classes Order 1987, pubs and bars are in
the A4 class – ‘Drinking Establishments’ –
so conversion is permitted to A1 (shops
and retail), A2 (financial and professional
services) and A3 (restaurants and cafes).
For city centre pubs, conversion to
commercial use is generally simple. On the
other hand conversion to residential use is
often fraught. Councils will generally look
for evidence that a pub is not a viable
business in its current use before granting
planning permission – which may mean
that agents have to go through a protracted
and futile marketing exercise to sell the pub
as a going concern, even though there are
buyers queuing up to convert it.

Local branches of the Campaign for Real
Ale (CAMRA) often fight a battle against
the residential conversion of rural pubs
– particularly where it is the last surviving
pub in a village – and they have managed
to win a number of high profile successes.
However Gavin Sherman says difficulties
with planning permission can be usually
overcome – and are often overestimated.
“Planning is rarely a major issue,
particularly in town centres,” he says,
“though you do have to prove it’s no longer
viable as a business. I’ve never seen a
council’s planning policy explicitly against
change of use.”
The costs of refurbishment vary widely.
However with more still-trading pubs
coming on to the market, they’re likely
to be lower than with the boarded-up and
indeed derelict pubs that used to make up
much of the conversion market. Gavin
Sherman says “Some people will buy a pub
and not spent a penny on it, just live
upstairs.” On the other hand, some pubs
are knocked down and completely rebuilt,
with building costs “between £100 and
£200 a square foot.” While rural pubs are
often relatively simple to convert, city
centre and suburban purpose-built pubs
often present a problem. Some are too
large for single residential use, and difficult
to convert to office or apartment format.
For instance the Angler’s Arms, Derby,
a Greene King pub, is to be demolished,
and a 60 bed care home built on the site.
The building, on the outskirts of the city,
apparently received no bids for use as a
pub – and would not be easy to convert,
since the demands of complying with
building regulations would probably cost
more than a complete new build. Certainly this is a big area for agents. It’s difficult to
estimate quite how big, as some agents are
still reticent about disclosing the number
of pubs they sell for non-pub uses.
Fleurets, on the other hand, states
openly on its web site that it currently has
260 properties available where there is an
opportunity for redevelopment or
alternative use. The number of pubs on
other agents’ books must be three or four
times that. Gavin Sherman says, “There
are real opportunities out there without
a doubt. It’s a question of identifying them
– and, of course, having the access to cash
to make use of them.” Borrowing for pub
purchase – as for other property investment or development – remains
tight, and few lenders are willing to finance
homebuyers wishing to convert a property.
Even though the economy appears to be
looking up, which might stem the flow of
some types of distressed property, it seems
likely that the supply of former pubs will
continue. While the better managed
groups, like Mitchells & Butlers, Greene
King, Marstons, and JD Wetherspoon, are
beginning to see encouraging signs of sales
growth, Punch didn’t impress the city with
its recent results, and some smaller pubcos
are faring poorly. Besides, banks which
have so far held back from crystallising
their losses may be less happy to subsidise
failing pubs in future – and push for
quicker sales. The recent VAT increase will
also test pub operators – as will interest
rate rises. Neil Morgan certainly believes
that there is likely to be a good flow of pubs
for conversion. “There is little doubt that
the UK still has too many pubs,” he says -
“and there will be further closures.”